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September 16, 2009 at 1:35 pm 6 Simple Ways to Reform Wall Street

from Yahoo Tech Ticker:

• Reinstate Glass-Steagall Separating banks from brokerage firms guarantees that “when Wall Street hits the wall… it doesn’t cause the banks to do the same,” says Ritholtz, who claims the Act was a major reason why the economy didn’t come crashing down along with stocks in October 1987.

• Repeal the Commodity Futures Modernization Act This rule “allowed derivatives to be exempt from all the rules that affect every other traded financial instrument,” and was a root cause of AIG’s problems, he says.

• Overturning the so-called Bear Stearns rule allowing leverage beyond 12 to 1 The SEC’s 2004 rule change, which eliminated some leverage restrictions on investment banks in favor of capital requirements by type of asset was a mistake, says Ritholtz. “Without overturning that, give us 5-10 years, we’ll be right back where we started.”

• Continuing to allow high-risk trades to be compensated regardless of profitability This issue is one already being addressed by the so-called Pay Czar Kenneth Feinberg.

• Regulating the non bank sub-prime lenders and mandating (and enforcing) lending standards This one is pretty self-explanatory and one few argue as a key reason for the subprime debacle.

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Source:
Forget Obama’s Speech, Here Are 6 Simple Ways to Reform Wall Street
Peter Gorenstein
Yahoo Tech Ticker, Sep 15, 2009

http://finance.yahoo.com/tech-ticker/article/330524/Forget-Obama’s-Speech-Here-Are-6-Simple-Ways-to-Reform-Wall-Street

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August 30, 2009 at 2:00 pm WASHINGTON JOURNAL

In “Bailout Nation: How Greed and Easy Money Corrupted Wall Street and Shook the World Economy,” Barry Ritholtz identifies the financial lenders, regulators, and politicians he holds responsible for the current financial crisis.
Washington, DC : 59 min.

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WASH Journal

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August 18, 2009 at 3:02 pm Morning Meeting

Visit msnbc.com for Breaking News, World News, and News about the Economy

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August 18, 2009 at 6:52 am Nightline Appearance

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August 17, 2009 at 5:05 pm Media Appearance: Nightline ABC, 11:35pm tonite

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This evening, I will be discussing the recession — is it over? What will the recovery look like?

Nightline, ABC News, 11:35pm

Should be very intertesting . . .

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August 3, 2009 at 10:09 am Interview on Copper Robot

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July 29, 2009 at 11:22 am Housing Foreclosures, Madoff & Bailouts:

Housing Foreclosures:

Visit msnbc.com for Breaking News, World News, and News about the Economy

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Starts at the 4 minute mark

Visit msnbc.com for Breaking News, World News, and News about the Economy

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July 23, 2009 at 9:00 am The Real Price of Life in Bailout Nation

Barry Ritholtz: The Real Price of Life in Bailout Nation

by Cait Murphy | May 29, 2009 | 

In his just-published book, Bailout Nation, quant researcher and the popular blogger behind The Big Picture Barry Ritholtz argues that major players in the U.S. economy have become far too accustomed to letting the U.S. government pay for their mistakes. The result is moral hazard run riot — at substantial cost not only to the taxpayer but also to the competitiveness of the American economy.

In Ritholtz’s view, regulators should only help to keep businesses honest and create the correct incentives, not act to prop up asset prices nor cover the bets of companies that got it wrong. (Under the Ritholtz rules, Long Term Capital Management, for one, would have been allowed to sink.) An economy in which businesses do not have to accept the consequences of their actions, up to and including failure, Ritholtz says, is bad for business.

Here Ritholtz discusses why no company or institution should be considered “too big to fail,” who deserves the most blame for our current predicament, and the long-term consequences of all this government intervention.

What is the most common misconception about the crisis?

That this was a perfect storm of unexpected and unavoidable events. Not true. This was the inevitable result of a series of decisions made by CEOs, bankers, and regulators. A lot of the damage that was done, the actors did to themselves. Lehman Brothers and Bear Stearns, for example, wanted maximum mortgage exposure and wanted to leverage up to do it. They weren’t killed by a series of unfortunate events; they committed suicide.

Is there any company or institution that’s too big to fail?

In a moment of panic, it can look that way. But if you calm down and think about it, why couldn’t, say, AIG, have been allowed to fail? What made AIG important as a company was the insurance side, and that part is OK. AIG could have been split between its insurance operations and what was really a parallel, unregulated, financial operation. I don’t see any reason at all to bail out the latter, which has no value and made its own bad bets.

As for Citigroup, I don’t see why it could not have been told to go through a structured, organized bankruptcy process — fire the CEO, wipe out the shareholders, and sell the toxic debt for whatever you can get for it. Then you have a healthy banking situation again. Similarly for Bank of America, if you are dumb enough to buy Countrywide and overpay for Merrill Lynch, why should you be saved? As I see it, [Treasury Secretary] Henry Paulson and [Federal Reserve Chairman] Ben Bernanke were and are trying to save the banks, but it is not the banks that need to be saved — it’s the banking system. There should be no sacred cows. Too big to fail is a myth.

What is the most surprising thing you learned while researching this book?

That Lehman Brothers could have been saved. Warren Buffett went to Dick Fuld and said, “I’m willing to give you couple of billion dollars on these terms.” Fuld turned him down, and so Lehman died. Buffett invested in Goldman Sachs instead.

Which of the many bailouts you discuss in your book was the most misguided?

Oh, gosh, there are so many. Chrysler in 1980 sort of set the stage. Then there’s AIG and the way JP Morgan talked a naive Fed into giving it $29 billion to take Bear Stearns — that was just horrific. But if I had to pick, I’d say Alan Greenspan’s bailout of the stock market after the crash of 2000. I know that this is not what people think of as a typical bailout, but it qualifies. The run-up in stock prices had been a classic spree, and when you go on a binge, you are supposed to suffer the hangover. Greenspan would not let that happen. Instead, the Fed cut rates to historically low levels and then kept them there for years. The only plausible reason for this is that he was bailing out investors. And the result, of course, was to create moral hazard, in the form of reckless speculation. This was the start of all the subsequent trouble.

So how much responsibility do you think Alan Greenspan ultimately bears for our current mess?

Historically, during the recessions of the ’50s and ’60s, the Fed brought interest rates down to very low levels for very brief periods of time — a couple of weeks or months. Greenspan did something unprecedented, lowering them below 2 percent for three years, and down to 1 percent for more than a year. This had enormous repercussions: higher commodity costs, the spiral in home prices, the mad scramble among bond managers for yield.

Second, the Fed was charged with regulating the banking industry, and it didn’t. Mortgage companies were allowed to lend to anybody regardless of ability to repay, and the mortgage shops didn’t care as long as they could sell [the loans] to Wall Street. So as I see it, the Fed caused the problem, and then, as the disease was spreading, it allowed the disease to go untreated.

Who bears more responsibility for the financial crisis, Republicans or Democrats?

The Republicans controlled Congress from 1994 to 2006 and the White House from 2000 to 2008. But it was a Democrat, Bill Clinton, who signed the repeal of the Glass-Steagall Act, which prohibited bank holding companies from owning other financial firms, and the Commodity Futures Modernization Act (CFMA), which removed derivatives and credit default swaps from regulatory oversight. Both parties kept Alan Greenspan at the Fed, and it was Democrats who passed the Troubled Asset Relief Program (TARP); most Republicans were against it. So this was a bipartisan snafu, but not a 50-50 one; I’d say 60-40, with Republicans bearing more of the blame because they had more responsibility. The best way to assess it is that a lot of the Republican free-market philosophy was made worse by the Democratic reaction to it, of saying, let’s throw a few hundred billion dollars at the problem.

You make the case that being bailed out has become an expectation — one that is harmful to the U.S. in the long term. How can this dynamic be changed?

You have to put the fear of God into bondholders and corporate executives, so that when they screw up, they know they will have to pay for it. One good way to start would be to claw back some of the more outrageous executive compensation packages. It would scare the crap out of executives in the future if they see some big names have to cough up gains based on phantom profits. The principle is simple: You cannot expect to book profits that are ephemeral — practically fraudulent — and expect to keep the gains. You don’t get to live in a 47-room mansion in Greenwich when you helped bring about the end of the global financial system.

Notice how differently the partnership-based institutions did, like private equity and venture capital firms. They didn’t get involved in the subprime [lending] insanity, and none of these blew up. Their risk management approach was different because the partners all bore the consequences of their own actions — it was not the problem of shareholders or, ultimately, taxpayers.

What would you do if you were Ben Bernanke right now?

Make sure that lending is performed in a way that borrowers show that they have the ability to repay the loans they are contracting. I’d reinstate Glass-Steagall and overturn the CFMA, and reduce the amount of leverage allowed. Basically, I’d say that depository banks cannot be casinos; I would make that part of banking a boring, low-risk, low-return business.

What has been the effect of all these bailouts on ordinary Americans?

Every time there is a foreclosure, that brings down property values in the neighborhood. At the same time, a lot of people were priced out during the crazy housing boom. In addition, the deficits that we as a nation have incurred by these bailouts are enormous; our grandkids are going to be paying this. And because we’ve used so much money for these bailouts, our options to do other things — build parks, cut taxes, or whatever — is being limited.

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July 15, 2009 at 5:22 pm BNN Appearance

SqueezePlay : July 14, 2009 : We Live in Toxic (Asset) Times [07-14-09 5:10PM]

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July 14, 2009, SqueezePlay

BNN speaks with Barry L. Ritholtz, Fusion IQ.

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July 15, 2009 at 8:00 am The Mother of All Bailouts

Newsweek

Today’s rash of corporate rescues isn’t new. Retracing the roots of the government’s costliest plans.

Daniel Gross
Newsweek Web Exclusive

Before the housing and credit bubbles popped, Barry Ritholtz, a lawyer turned blogger and money manager, was one of the voices crying in the wilderness. His caustic (and occasionally profane) blog, The Big Picture, dissected macroeconomic news and relentlessly cut through spin. His book, Bailout Nation: How Greed and Easy Money Corrupted Wall Street and Shook the World Economy (Wiley), takes a long view of the roots of the economic crisis, tracing the history of a series of ever more expensive taxpayer-funded bailouts of failed industries. He spoke with NEWSWEEK’s Daniel Gross. A podcast of their conversation can be heard here. Excerpts:

Gross: Most people who talk about the first bailouts go back to the savings-and-loan crisis in the 1980s. But your book starts with a bailout of a nonfinancial firm in 1971. Tell us about Lockheed.
Ritholz: In 1971, it was the middle of the Vietnam War, and Lockheed was a major defense contractor that through a combination of bad planning and some strategic errors had overextended itself. Companies like this knew how to work themselves through the D.C. bureaucracy, and so they decided that rather than go through a Chapter 11 bankruptcy that they would ask for government-guaranteed loans. They originally asked for $600 million and ended up getting $250 million. It was unprecedented. The debate was raucous. And once this passed—and it just squeaked by—it really opened the doors for future bailouts. One of the themes you see every bailout is “this is critical,” or “the system will fall apart if this dies.” Lockheed was “a critical supplier of defense components.” Chrysler was “a critical part of the national economy.” If they were allowed to die, who knows what would happen?’ Actually, we do know what would happen because companies die all the time; it’s really not that big a deal. People move jobs, the suppliers readjust, and wherever we had excess capacity, it gets put to work more productively in another place.

The big change we get in the ’80s is that bailouts go from being of old industries to the financial-services industry.
In the 1950s, manufacturing and heavy industry was about 30 percent of GDP, and when you looked at it as a percentage of the S&P 500 profits, it was very significant, and the financial services were 10 percent. Go forward half a century, and suddenly 21 percent or so of GDP is related to insurance, credit cards, mortgages, Wall Street, the whole banking sector. But the financial-services industry didn’t really need Congress and politically elected people to do bailouts. It had the Federal Reserve.

You make an interesting point that Federal Reserve chairman Alan Greenspan had this tremendous belief in the power of markets to self-regulate because people were rational actors. And yet, you write that he was frequently reacting to psychology. How do you square those two?
Well, you can’t. It’s obviously a contradiction. Look, we know from the studies and the Nobel Prizes given out recently that human beings aren’t extremely rational. We engage in all sorts of analytical foibles and errors, and our wetware is flawed. To his credit, Greenspan actually admitted there was a flaw in his philosophy. But history speaks for itself. But we had a huge amount of deregulation, repealing Glass-Steagall, done at the behest of Citibank, and the Commodities Futures Modernization Act, done at the behest of AIG and Enron.

The five biggest banks went to the SEC and got the limits on how much leverage they can use lifted. The idea was: we’re big boys; we can handle this ourselves. And look what happened. The idea that people are rational, that even the best corporate executives at the biggest, wealthiest financial firms know what’s in their own best interest, that’s just false. We’re slightly clever, pants-wearing primates. It’s like taking a bunch of monkeys and putting a big pile of bananas in a room and saying, “Now, don’t eat all the bananas. You need one a day for the next 90 days.” Well, you come back three days later and there are no bananas left.

I don’t know why this image of the monkeys with bananas makes me think of CNBC.
Unfortunately, some of the advice that has come from all the financial media has just not been cognizant of risk. There’s an old quote that the role of the Federal Reserve is to pull away the punch bowl when the party is getting good. And the financial media—not across the board, I don’t want to paint with too broad a brush, but somewhere in the neighborhood of 80 percent—was spiking the punch.

You focus a lot on fraud and criminality.
Well, there were immense amounts of fraud both on a minor level and on a wholesale level. It starts out with predatory lending, which was really a minor issue in what happened to the bailouts. But it happened with the mortgage brokers, the appraisers, the real-estate agents. From the sleaziest fly-by-night outfit to the biggest banks, everyone had a finger in this. At Chase—now JPMorgan Chase—there was an internal memo advising people how to beat the in-house automated mortgage-approval system. The people who were in the bank had figured out a way to tweak the inputs in order to get a bad applicant approved for a mortgage.

You use the term “nonfeasance” to refer to what the regulators as a class were doing. What do you mean by that?
If you are a crossing guard and you decide to take a break and a bunch of schoolkids get run over by a bus, that’s nonfeasance. You can’t abandon your post. But essentially that’s what the regulators did. Time and again there were opportunities for people to respond to what took place. But they didn’t act.

You tally the costs of “bailout nation,” and it rises into the trillions. But when we’ve had bailouts in the past, sometimes we end up being surprised that the ultimate cost ends up being less than projected. We’re already starting to get the Troubled Asset Relief Program repaid with interest. So couldn’t the ultimate cost be less than we think?
Yes, it’s certainly possible. Remember, there are a number of costs that are involved. There’s the actual out-of-pocket cost, that’s No. 1. So if we put $125 billion into a variety of banks in order to give them capital, we’ll see a chunk of that. But there’s more. You’re making these purchases under duress, and there’s the cost of encouraging this behavior in the future. One of the examples I used in the book is that after the Federal Reserve provided $29 billion to JPMorgan to buy Bear Stearns, Lehman Brothers was given the opportunity to have an investment by none other than Warren Buffett. Lehman turned him down. You have to wonder how much of that decision was impacted by a mindset that figured they were bigger than Bear Stearns, so the Fed would bail them out, too. Then there’s the last issue of what could we have done with that money elsewhere? We could have used that money to repave every road and rebuild every school in the country and give the entire country health care.

That would be socialism, Barry.
My favorite line that came out of all these bailouts—and remember, most of this nationalization took place not under the Obama administration but under the Bush administration—is that Bush and his people came into office as social conservatives and left office as conservative socialists.

With Stuart Johnson

URL: http://www.newsweek.com/id/206587

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